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India Monsoon Deficit Hits 13% Amid Strong El Nino

By ThePip DeskIndia Monsoon Deficit Hits 13% Amid Strong El Nino

India recorded a 13% rainfall deficit during the southwest monsoon, receiving 759.4 mm due to strong El Nino forces, according to the IMD.

The India Meteorological Department stated that India received 87.4 per cent of its long-period average rainfall during the southwest monsoon season from June to September. The country recorded a rainfall deficit of about 13 per cent between June 1 and September 30.

Monsoon Performance and Key Figures

  • Normal monsoon rainfall stands at 868.6 mm for the season.
  • Actual rainfall recorded reached 759.4 mm across the country.
  • The season marked the fourth-lowest monsoon rainfall since 2001.
  • The long-period average refers to the average rainfall over a reference period typically spanning 30 to 50 years.

The rainfall deficit came amid El Nino conditions over the tropical Pacific. These atmospheric patterns emerged in June and steadily strengthened through the course of the season.

Outlook and Regional Projections

  • October rainfall is forecast at around 85 per cent of the long-period average.
  • Below-normal rainfall is expected across most parts of India during the October-December period.
  • Persistent dry patterns indicate that the rainfall deficit could extend beyond the southwest monsoon season.

The recurring below-normal forecasts highlight ongoing climate headwinds for upcoming weather cycles. Official monitoring continues to track tropical Pacific indicators closely as the year progresses.

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